The Awards Prediction Industry is Dumb
With Fall Film Fest season just around the corner, the return of the "Oscar pundit" is quickly approaching. And why? For what? It can be fun enough to see 30 movies at a festival and try to guess what will win what, but sight unseen these predictors go off of conventional wisdom. If the last few years have shown us anything (in regards to the silly and frivolous world of cinema awards), it's that the Academy's push to get in younger and more international members has made all of the old rules meaningless. I really want to hammer home the latter part of that sentence, because I think it gets overlooked in the Academy's diversity push. Yes, the membership got more racially diverse, and added more women, but there was also a massive expansion in members who never made an American film. And the result of that has been really, really obvious. In the 94 years of Academy Awards history, there have been 13 Best Picture nominees that weren't in English. 4 of those ...